Trend-following systems: the next generation

October 1st, 2009

In the previous section, we have seen key notes on “Trend Following Systems- the currencies”. Now, we will have a look at “the next generation” commendable systems.

Traders stay in the quest for an alternative investment strategy which can provide capital growth in all volatile market condition.

Traders employ trend following systems for the mere conception of reducing their losses and bolstering up their profits. As everyone knows that a flourishing trading system is the one that has been tested for a longer period of time, by using trend following systems, traders will gain only 25% to 45% of the trade. This is otherwise referred to as classical trend following system. Here, the trader should identify false breakouts and predict the strength of the trend earlier to get success.

The trader should use ADX indicator to know the beginning and the end of the trend in which the market is faring. Some use cycle analysis (Trade Cycles phase indicator) to detect these end points. In this cycle analysis; amplitude, phase and frequency are the key elements used by the traders.

For analyzing financial data of cycles, traders of the trend following systems will use the Maximum Entropy Spectra Analysis (MEM) method. The next generation traders will get themselves trained on the application of the information to evaluate the existence and strength of a trend.

For acquiring knowledge on trend market, traders will now apply cycle analysis indices. With this, they will predict “Yen trend”, “Dollar trend” and so on, along with their movement, whether in the longer cycle or not will be assessed.

They will also know “sine wave” application, to make out the price action moves of the market. Thus, they go in following a favorable indicator and anticipate the price movements whether they are moving upward or downward.

Few greatest traders of the world used the channel breakout, prominently referred to as “sound trading systems”, and eventually turned successful in the trading. Here, they modified weekly rule (Donchian) Trading system and services.

Traders should understand that false breakouts occur during periods of market consolidation. And the most noticeable moves happen on breakouts from long periods of consolidation. So, increasing the number of contracts during the false breakouts is recommended.

Some Traders use 2% money management stop on each position. By this application, they limit the risk on their capital. In addition, the traders should also know that “channel breakout” system will have low percentage of winning trades.

Throughout the world, Worldwide Futures Systems recommends only large and diversified trading trends. Traders are aware that the Balanced and Diversified Trend Trading Portfolio applied in the market will bring forth heavy gains, and hence they will be on long term trends with the minimum level of risk.